NFL — duban

NFL0 TEAMS0 PLAYERS0 GAMES TRACKED2025 SEASON

MODEL PICKS · GRADED IN PUBLIC74 ON INJURY REPORT

The season's story

WHAT THE GAME LOGS SAY

984Coverage

Player-market rows in the research bank across 4 families for the 2025 season — every number derived from the game logs.

282.2Production

Matthew Stafford leads the league at 282.2 passing yards per game on 35.8 attempts.

11.6Volume king

Ja'Marr Chase leads the league in targets per game — opportunity is the input every projection starts from.

74Injury report

74 tracked players are carrying an injury designation — the watch list is below.

Injury watch

74 CARRYING A DESIGNATION

Patrick MahomesKC · QBQUESTIONABLE

Michael Penix Jr.ATL · QBQUESTIONABLE

Marcus MariotaWAS · QBQUESTIONABLE

Puka NacuaLA · WRQUESTIONABLE

Dillon GabrielCLE · QBINJURED RESERVE

Ja'Marr ChaseCIN · WRQUESTIONABLE

Zay FlowersBAL · WRQUESTIONABLE

Malik NabersNYG · WRQUESTIONABLE

Christian McCaffreySF · RBQUESTIONABLE

D'Andre SwiftCHI · RBQUESTIONABLE

Breece HallNYJ · RBQUESTIONABLE

Wan'Dale RobinsonNYG · WRQUESTIONABLE

Josh JacobsGB · RBOUT

Tucker KraftGB · TEQUESTIONABLE

Ashton JeantyLV · RBQUESTIONABLE

Tee HigginsCIN · WRQUESTIONABLE

DK MetcalfPIT · WRQUESTIONABLE

Emeka EgbukaTB · WRQUESTIONABLE

Sam LaPortaDET · TEQUESTIONABLE

Rome OdunzeCHI · WRQUESTIONABLE

George KittleSF · TEQUESTIONABLE

Jakobi MeyersJAX · WRQUESTIONABLE

Tyrone Tracy Jr.NYG · RBQUESTIONABLE

Khalil ShakirBUF · WRQUESTIONABLE

Tyler WarrenIND · TEQUESTIONABLE

Jacory Croskey-MerrittWAS · RBQUESTIONABLE

Kyle MonangaiCHI · RBQUESTIONABLE

TreVeyon HendersonNE · RBQUESTIONABLE

Michael PittmanIND · WRQUESTIONABLE

Mike EvansTB · WRQUESTIONABLE

Jalen McMillanTB · WRQUESTIONABLE

Zach CharbonnetSEA · RBOUT

Alvin KamaraNO · RBQUESTIONABLE

Luther Burden IIICHI · WRQUESTIONABLE

Trey BensonARI · RBINJURED RESERVE

Isiah PachecoKC · RBINJURED RESERVE

Josh DownsIND · WRQUESTIONABLE

Theo JohnsonNYG · TEQUESTIONABLE

Chuba HubbardCAR · RBQUESTIONABLE

Rachaad WhiteTB · RBQUESTIONABLE

Jayden HigginsHOU · WRINJURED RESERVE

Keon ColemanBUF · WRQUESTIONABLE

Christian KirkHOU · WRINJURED RESERVE

Marvin Mims Jr.DEN · WRQUESTIONABLE

Keaton MitchellBAL · RBQUESTIONABLE

Kendre MillerNO · RBQUESTIONABLE

Calvin Austin IIIPIT · WRINJURED RESERVE

Tyrell ShaversBUF · WROUT

Xavier LegetteCAR · WRQUESTIONABLE

Tory HortonSEA · WRQUESTIONABLE

Sean TuckerTB · RBQUESTIONABLE

Isaiah BondCLE · WRQUESTIONABLE

Bhayshul TutenJAX · RBQUESTIONABLE

Terrance FergusonLA · TEQUESTIONABLE

Ty JohnsonBUF · RBQUESTIONABLE

Tre HarrisLAC · WRQUESTIONABLE

Luke MusgraveGB · TEOUT

Isaiah DavisNYJ · RBQUESTIONABLE

Kyle JuszczykSF · FBQUESTIONABLE

David SillsATL · WRINJURED RESERVE

Jeremy McNicholsWAS · RBINJURED RESERVE

Ben SinnottWAS · TEQUESTIONABLE

Trevor EtienneCAR · RBINJURED RESERVE

Davis AllenLA · TEQUESTIONABLE

Jamari ThrashCLE · WRINJURED RESERVE

Jake BoboSEA · WRINJURED RESERVE

Savion WilliamsGB · WRINJURED RESERVE

Mason TiptonNO · WROUT

Ollie Gordon IIMIA · RBQUESTIONABLE

Dont'e Thornton Jr.LV · WRINJURED RESERVE

Ben SkowronekPIT · WRQUESTIONABLE

Xavier WeaverARI · WRQUESTIONABLE

LeQuint Allen Jr.JAX · RBQUESTIONABLE

Grant CalcaterraPHI · TEINJURED RESERVE

Injury designations from ESPN's league-wide report (refreshed hourly), joined to the research bank.

Featured boards

Open full table →

Rec Yards leaders

PER GAME · SEASON

Puka Nacua — LAWR · 10.9 TGT/G · 19 GAMES107.7 rec yards per game on 10.9 TGT/G — reference line sits at 95.5.107.7/G Jaxon Smith-Njigba — SEAWR · 9.5 TGT/G · 20 GAMES99.6 rec yards per game on 9.5 TGT/G — reference line sits at 99.5.99.6/G Ja'Marr Chase — CINWR · 11.6 TGT/G · 16 GAMES88.3 rec yards per game on 11.6 TGT/G — reference line sits at 95.5.88.3/G George Pickens — DALWR · 8.1 TGT/G · 17 GAMES84.1 rec yards per game on 8.1 TGT/G — reference line sits at 78.5.84.1/G CeeDee Lamb — DALWR · 9 TGT/G · 13 GAMES82.8 rec yards per game on 9 TGT/G — reference line sits at 85.5.82.8/G Amon-Ra St. Brown — DETWR · 10.1 TGT/G · 17 GAMES82.4 rec yards per game on 10.1 TGT/G — reference line sits at 77.5.82.4/G

Receptions leaders

PER GAME · SEASON

Puka Nacua — LAWR · 10.9 TGT/G · 19 GAMES8.1/G Ja'Marr Chase — CINWR · 11.6 TGT/G · 16 GAMES7.8/G Trey McBride — ARITE · 9.9 TGT/G · 17 GAMES7.4/G

Rush Yards leaders

PER GAME · SEASON

James Cook — BUFRB · 18.3 CAR/G · 19 GAMES93.9/G Derrick Henry — BALRB · 18.1 CAR/G · 17 GAMES93.8/G Jonathan Taylor — INDRB · 19 CAR/G · 17 GAMES93.2/G

Pass Yards leaders

PER GAME · SEASON

Matthew Stafford — LAQB · 35.8 ATT/G · 20 GAMES282.2/G Jared Goff — DETQB · 34 ATT/G · 17 GAMES268.5/G Dak Prescott — DALQB · 35.3 ATT/G · 17 GAMES267.8/G

Market intelligence

TARGETS PER GAME · RECEIVING

Ja'Marr Chase — receptionsCIN · WR · 16 GAMES11.6TGT/G Puka Nacua — receptionsLA · WR · 19 GAMES10.9TGT/G Amon-Ra St. Brown — receptionsDET · WR · 17 GAMES10.1TGT/G Trey McBride — receptionsARI · TE · 17 GAMES9.9TGT/G Rashee Rice — receptionsKC · WR · 8 GAMES9.8TGT/G Chris Olave — receptionsNO · WR · 16 GAMES9.8TGT/G

The league’s target hogs — opportunity is the input every projection starts from.

Player spotlights

The season's top producer in each marquee family — production and opportunity from the game logs, not picks.

Puka Nacua

Rec Yards · per game

107.7

REF LINE 95.5TGT/G 10.9GAMES 19

LA · WR

James Cook

Rush Yards · per game

93.9

REF LINE 107.5CAR/G 18.3GAMES 19

BUF · RB

Matthew Stafford

Pass Yards · per game

282.2

REF LINE 276.5ATT/G 35.8GAMES 20

LA · QB

Latest · Super Bowl

Full schedule →

SEA29@13

All model picks

Slates freeze the UK morning of kickoff and grade after Tuesday's stats import.

No NFL slate is frozen yet — the first one lands the morning of kickoff.

Prop research

Reference lines are derived from each player's game log (median, rounded to the half). They are not sportsbook lines and not picks — the model picks above use the book's frozen line.

364 qualifying players · min 4 games with opportunity

PlayerTeamGTGT/GaDOTY/TREC YDS/GEPA/GRef lineHit rateLast 5

PNPuka NacuaWRQLA1910.910.19.8107.76.895.59/19 · 47%JSJaxon Smith-NjigbaWRSEA209.511.110.599.64.899.510/20 · 50%JCJa'Marr ChaseWRQCIN1611.68.57.688.32.695.58/16 · 50%GPGeorge PickensWRDAL178.111.310.484.15.278.58/17 · 47%CLCeeDee LambWRDAL139129.282.82.285.56/13 · 46%ASAmon-Ra St. BrownWRDET1710.18.18.182.43.377.58/17 · 47%DLDrake LondonWRATL129.310.98.276.62.166.56/12 · 50%TMTrey McBrideTEARI179.96.77.372.94.372.58/17 · 47%COChris OlaveWRNO169.811.87.572.72.261.58/16 · 50%RRRashee RiceWRKC89.84.37.371.4265.54/8 · 50%ZFZay FlowersWRQBAL176.910.210.371.22.772.58/17 · 47%NCNico CollinsWRHOU167.912.5971.12.367.58/16 · 50%MNMalik NabersWRQNYG48.815.97.767.80.645.52/4 · 50%APAlec PierceWRIND155.61911.966.93.769.57/15 · 47%THTyreek HillWRMIA47.313.89.166.3558.52/4 · 50%JWJameson WilliamsWRDET17612.61165.73.366.58/17 · 47%ABA.J. BrownWRPHI16812.2864.3258.58/16 · 50%WRWan'Dale RobinsonWRQNYG168.88.57.263.41.251.58/16 · 50%JJJustin JeffersonWRMIN178.310.27.461.6-0.861.58/17 · 47%TKTucker KraftTEQGB85.54.611.161.14.949.54/8 · 50%TMTetairoa McMillanWRCAR187.211.78.560.81.661.59/18 · 50%DSDeVonta SmithWRPHI186.911.28.759.9351.59/18 · 50%PWParker WashingtonWRJAX166.712.58.959.61.852.58/16 · 50%MWMichael WilsonWRARI177.411.9859.21.544.58/17 · 47%CWChristian WatsonWRGB115.617.210.458.83.449.55/11 · 45%TMTerry McLaurinWRWAS106149.758.23.255.55/10 · 50%DADavante AdamsWRLA178.213.2757.31.958.58/17 · 47%CSCourtland SuttonWRDEN197.312.37.957.22.461.59/19 · 47%JWJaylen WaddleWRMIA166.313.19.156.92.251.58/16 · 50%BBBrock BowersTELV127.26.57.956.71.946.55/12 · 42%THTee HigginsWRQCIN156.513.48.656.42.456.57/15 · 47%GWGarrett WilsonWRNYJ78.49.16.756.4-0.371.53/7 · 43%DMDK MetcalfWRQPIT166.510.68.655.82.145.58/16 · 50%EEEmeka EgbukaWRQTB177.512.47.455.20.440.58/17 · 47%KPKyle PittsTEATL176.97.47.954.61.457.58/17 · 47%SLSam LaPortaTEQDET95.45.71054.3453.54/9 · 44%CMChristian McCaffreyRBQSF197.52.87.254.22.553.59/19 · 47%QJQuentin JohnstonWRLAC146.411.68.453.91.647.57/14 · 50%SDStefon DiggsWRNE215.88.29.253.53.438.510/21 · 48%RORome OdunzeWRQCHI147.314.47.353.51.844.56/14 · 43%GKGeorge KittleTEQSF125.96.78.952.83.855.56/12 · 50%RPRicky PearsallWRSF105.513.89.652.82.451.55/10 · 50%JJJuwan JohnsonTENO1767.68.752.32.149.58/17 · 47%MHMarvin Harrison Jr.WRARI126.1138.350.72.651.56/12 · 50%CLColston LovelandTECHI185.99.98.550.32.839.59/18 · 50%TKTravis KelceTEKC176.46.87.950.12.448.58/17 · 47%RDRomeo DoubsWRGB175.612.58.849.92.853.58/17 · 47%JMJakobi MeyersWRQJAX176.79.27.449.80.444.58/17 · 47%KSKhalil ShakirWRQBUF186.43.47.648.70.845.58/18 · 44%DKDalton KincaidTEBUF144.39.311.448.73.639.57/14 · 50%

NFL0 TEAMS0 PLAYERS0 GAMES TRACKED2025 SEASON

MODEL PICKS · GRADED IN PUBLIC74 ON INJURY REPORT

Schedule · Teams · Players

The season's story

WHAT THE GAME LOGS SAY

984Coverage

Player-market rows in the research bank across 4 families for the 2025 season — every number derived from the game logs.

282.2Production

Matthew Stafford leads the league at 282.2 passing yards per game on 35.8 attempts.

11.6Volume king

Ja'Marr Chase leads the league in targets per game — opportunity is the input every projection starts from.

74Injury report

74 tracked players are carrying an injury designation — the watch list is below.

Injury watch

74 CARRYING A DESIGNATION

Patrick MahomesKC · QBQUESTIONABLE

Michael Penix Jr.ATL · QBQUESTIONABLE

Marcus MariotaWAS · QBQUESTIONABLE

Puka NacuaLA · WRQUESTIONABLE

Dillon GabrielCLE · QBINJURED RESERVE

Ja'Marr ChaseCIN · WRQUESTIONABLE

Zay FlowersBAL · WRQUESTIONABLE

Malik NabersNYG · WRQUESTIONABLE

Christian McCaffreySF · RBQUESTIONABLE

D'Andre SwiftCHI · RBQUESTIONABLE

Breece HallNYJ · RBQUESTIONABLE

Wan'Dale RobinsonNYG · WRQUESTIONABLE

Josh JacobsGB · RBOUT

Tucker KraftGB · TEQUESTIONABLE

Ashton JeantyLV · RBQUESTIONABLE

Tee HigginsCIN · WRQUESTIONABLE

DK MetcalfPIT · WRQUESTIONABLE

Emeka EgbukaTB · WRQUESTIONABLE

Sam LaPortaDET · TEQUESTIONABLE

Rome OdunzeCHI · WRQUESTIONABLE

George KittleSF · TEQUESTIONABLE

Jakobi MeyersJAX · WRQUESTIONABLE

Tyrone Tracy Jr.NYG · RBQUESTIONABLE

Khalil ShakirBUF · WRQUESTIONABLE

Tyler WarrenIND · TEQUESTIONABLE

Jacory Croskey-MerrittWAS · RBQUESTIONABLE

Kyle MonangaiCHI · RBQUESTIONABLE

TreVeyon HendersonNE · RBQUESTIONABLE

Michael PittmanIND · WRQUESTIONABLE

Mike EvansTB · WRQUESTIONABLE

Jalen McMillanTB · WRQUESTIONABLE

Zach CharbonnetSEA · RBOUT

Alvin KamaraNO · RBQUESTIONABLE

Luther Burden IIICHI · WRQUESTIONABLE

Trey BensonARI · RBINJURED RESERVE

Isiah PachecoKC · RBINJURED RESERVE

Josh DownsIND · WRQUESTIONABLE

Theo JohnsonNYG · TEQUESTIONABLE

Chuba HubbardCAR · RBQUESTIONABLE

Rachaad WhiteTB · RBQUESTIONABLE

Jayden HigginsHOU · WRINJURED RESERVE

Keon ColemanBUF · WRQUESTIONABLE

Christian KirkHOU · WRINJURED RESERVE

Marvin Mims Jr.DEN · WRQUESTIONABLE

Keaton MitchellBAL · RBQUESTIONABLE

Kendre MillerNO · RBQUESTIONABLE

Calvin Austin IIIPIT · WRINJURED RESERVE

Tyrell ShaversBUF · WROUT

Xavier LegetteCAR · WRQUESTIONABLE

Tory HortonSEA · WRQUESTIONABLE

Sean TuckerTB · RBQUESTIONABLE

Isaiah BondCLE · WRQUESTIONABLE

Bhayshul TutenJAX · RBQUESTIONABLE

Terrance FergusonLA · TEQUESTIONABLE

Ty JohnsonBUF · RBQUESTIONABLE

Tre HarrisLAC · WRQUESTIONABLE

Luke MusgraveGB · TEOUT

Isaiah DavisNYJ · RBQUESTIONABLE

Kyle JuszczykSF · FBQUESTIONABLE

David SillsATL · WRINJURED RESERVE

Jeremy McNicholsWAS · RBINJURED RESERVE

Ben SinnottWAS · TEQUESTIONABLE

Trevor EtienneCAR · RBINJURED RESERVE

Davis AllenLA · TEQUESTIONABLE

Jamari ThrashCLE · WRINJURED RESERVE

Jake BoboSEA · WRINJURED RESERVE

Savion WilliamsGB · WRINJURED RESERVE

Mason TiptonNO · WROUT

Ollie Gordon IIMIA · RBQUESTIONABLE

Dont'e Thornton Jr.LV · WRINJURED RESERVE

Ben SkowronekPIT · WRQUESTIONABLE

Xavier WeaverARI · WRQUESTIONABLE

LeQuint Allen Jr.JAX · RBQUESTIONABLE

Grant CalcaterraPHI · TEINJURED RESERVE

Injury designations from ESPN's league-wide report (refreshed hourly), joined to the research bank.

Featured boards

Open full table →

Rec Yards leaders

PER GAME · SEASON

Receptions leaders

PER GAME · SEASON

Puka Nacua — LAWR · 10.9 TGT/G · 19 GAMES8.1/G Ja'Marr Chase — CINWR · 11.6 TGT/G · 16 GAMES7.8/G Trey McBride — ARITE · 9.9 TGT/G · 17 GAMES7.4/G

Rush Yards leaders

PER GAME · SEASON

James Cook — BUFRB · 18.3 CAR/G · 19 GAMES93.9/G Derrick Henry — BALRB · 18.1 CAR/G · 17 GAMES93.8/G Jonathan Taylor — INDRB · 19 CAR/G · 17 GAMES93.2/G

Pass Yards leaders

PER GAME · SEASON

Matthew Stafford — LAQB · 35.8 ATT/G · 20 GAMES282.2/G Jared Goff — DETQB · 34 ATT/G · 17 GAMES268.5/G Dak Prescott — DALQB · 35.3 ATT/G · 17 GAMES267.8/G

Market intelligence

TARGETS PER GAME · RECEIVING

The league’s target hogs — opportunity is the input every projection starts from.

Player spotlights

The season's top producer in each marquee family — production and opportunity from the game logs, not picks.

Puka Nacua

Rec Yards · per game

107.7

REF LINE 95.5TGT/G 10.9GAMES 19

LA · WR

James Cook

Rush Yards · per game

93.9

REF LINE 107.5CAR/G 18.3GAMES 19

BUF · RB

Matthew Stafford

Pass Yards · per game

282.2

REF LINE 276.5ATT/G 35.8GAMES 20

LA · QB

Latest · Super Bowl

Full schedule →

SEA29@13

All model picks

Slates freeze the UK morning of kickoff and grade after Tuesday's stats import.

No NFL slate is frozen yet — the first one lands the morning of kickoff.

Prop research

Reference lines are derived from each player's game log (median, rounded to the half). They are not sportsbook lines and not picks — the model picks above use the book's frozen line.

364 qualifying players · min 4 games with opportunity

PlayerTeamGTGT/GaDOTY/TREC YDS/GEPA/GRef lineHit rateLast 5