Insights
LOADING…
Insights
19 INSIGHTS · RANKED BY MODEL CONVICTION
PRO FEATURE
Pro insights
Model-backed insights for tonight, ranked by conviction — prop edges, situational trends, factor alerts and track-record streaks, each with its full reasoning.
- The full readout on every insight — projection vs line, side, confidence
- All categories unlocked (free previews prop edges only)
- Conviction-ranked: the strongest model signal always sits on top
WORKED EXAMPLE
PROP EDGE · WNBAA'ja Wilson — Points Over 22.5Projection 24.4 vs line 22.5 — a +1.9 gap at 73% calibrated confidence. Frozen before tip-off, graded against the box score.
A full Pro insight card — the readout free users see redacted.
How to read these
line- the sportsbook’s posted number — what you’d bet over/under.
proj- duban’s model projection — what we expect the player to actually do.
edge- proj minus line. The sign is the side: − leans under, + leans over. Bigger = bigger disagreement with the book.
conviction- calibrated confidence the pick hits (tuned from how often past picks this strong won).
- ✓ WIN / ✕ LOSS
- graded after the game, against the line on the side we picked (not against the projection). PENDING = game not final. Accuracy only — no odds/profit yet.
- #1
EdgePTS✓ WINMikal Bridges▲ Overprojects 17.1 · line 11.5 · edge +5.6under+5.6 ptsoverconviction81% - #2
EdgePTS✕ LOSSKeldon Johnson▲ Overprojects 10.9 · line 6.5 · edge +4.4under+4.4 ptsoverconviction81% - #3
EdgePTS✕ LOSSJose Alvarado▲ Overprojects 5.7 · line 2.5 · edge +3.2under+3.2 ptsoverconviction81% - #4
EdgePTS✕ LOSSHarrison Barnes▲ Overprojects 6.2 · line 1.5 · edge +4.7under+4.7 ptsoverconviction81% - #5
EdgePTS✕ LOSSVictor Wembanyama▼ Underprojects 23.9 · line 27.5 · edge −3.6under−3.6 ptsoverconviction78% - #6
EdgePTS✓ WINOG Anunoby▲ Overprojects 17.4 · line 14.5 · edge +2.9under+2.9 ptsoverconviction75% - #7
EdgePTS✕ LOSSMiles McBride▲ Overprojects 7.8 · line 5.5 · edge +2.3under+2.3 ptsoverconviction67% - #8
EdgePTS✓ WINKarl-Anthony Towns▲ Overprojects 18.6 · line 16.5 · edge +2.1under+2.1 ptsoverconviction62% - #9
EdgePTS✕ LOSSLuke Kornet▲ Overprojects 3.9 · line 2.5 · edge +1.4under+1.4 ptsoverconviction55% - #10
EdgePTS✓ WINMitchell Robinson▲ Overprojects 4.8 · line 3.5 · edge +1.3under+1.3 ptsoverconviction53% - #11
EdgePTS✕ LOSSJalen Brunson▲ Overprojects 26.9 · line 25.5 · edge +1.4under+1.4 ptsoverconviction52% - #12
EdgePTS✓ WINDe'Aaron Fox▲ Overprojects 16.8 · line 15.5 · edge +1.3under+1.3 ptsoverconviction50% - #13
EdgePTS✓ WINDevin Vassell▲ Overprojects 13.6 · line 12.5 · edge +1.1under+1.1 ptsoverconviction48% - #14
EdgePTS✓ WINLandry Shamet▲ Overprojects 8.2 · line 7.5 · edge +0.7under+0.7 ptsoverconviction42% - #15
EdgePTS✕ LOSSJulian Champagnie▲ Overprojects 10.9 · line 10.5 · edge +0.4under+0.4 ptsoverconviction37% - #16
EdgePTS✕ LOSSJosh Hart▲ Overprojects 11.7 · line 11.5 · edge +0.2under+0.2 ptsoverconviction33% - #17
EdgePTS✕ LOSSStephon Castle▲ Overprojects 16.7 · line 16.5 · edge +0.2under+0.2 ptsoverconviction33% - #18
EdgePTS✕ LOSSDylan Harper▼ Underprojects 11.8 · line 12 · edge −0.2under−0.2 ptsoverconviction33% - ?Track recordduban ProUnlock Track record insights with Pro.