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Model-priced picks across five leagues, graded on an append-only ledger. Every call frozen before tip-off — nothing hidden.

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duban is research and analysis, not betting or financial advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. 21+. Bet responsibly.

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Pick'em Hold Calculator

FREE · NO SIGN-UP · DECIMAL ODDS
Expected ValueKelly StakeNo-Vig Fair OddsOdds ConverterParlayPick'em HoldHedge
Hold at 50/50 lines25.00%what the app keeps when its lines are fair
EV per $1 entry−0.250at your per-leg win probability
Breakeven per leg57.7%each pick must hit this often to tread water
Chance all legs hit25.0%

A standard −110/−110 market holds about 4.5%. A “pick 2, win 3×” entry holds 25% of every dollar — the price is just hidden in the multiplier. duban's model prices single plays.

1Enter the legs and the payout multiplier your app shows
2A 3× payout on 2 picks keeps 25% of every dollar at 50/50 lines
3The break-even rate is how often each pick must hit just to tread water

This is the same math duban's model runs on every priced pick. See the graded record or run a real bet past the model.

Research and analysis, not betting advice. 21+. Bet responsibly.