Track Record

LOGGED BEFORE TIP-OFF · NOTHING EDITED OR DELETED

Picks graded

World Cup · production model

Hit rate

0.0%

40 W – 50 L

High-confidence (value plays)

0.0%

40 W – 50 L

ROI · per unit

+0.0%

CLV +0.02

Daily record · last 90 days · 30 graded days43% winning days

Hover or tap a day for its record

90 days agoToday

No picks match.

How this is measured

Every pick is written to an append-only ledger before tip-off and settled against the final result — no retroactive edits, no dropped losers.
World Cup & Tennis carry real odds, so we show ROI per unit (average profit on a flat 1-unit stake at the frozen book price) and CLV (did the line move our way by the close).
NBA & WNBA are odds-free — we don't buy player-prop lines yet, so those are graded on accuracy only (hit rate vs the model's own line). We never show an ROI number we can't back with a real price.
NFL props carry the book's frozen price (best available at freeze), so they grade on accuracy AND show ROI per unit once settled — the shadow model version never reaches this page.
Football (club leagues) grades the model lean at the frozen opening price — leans are analytics, not picks (our club models haven't passed the ROI gate), so this record lives on its own tab and is excluded from the All totals.
Confidence is the model's calibrated estimate of a pick's hit rate. Search, filter and sort the list to inspect any slice of the record yourself.

Past performance does not guarantee future results. duban is research and analysis, not betting or financial advice. Bet responsibly. Want the picks behind these numbers? See plans →